El precio de Bitcoin cayó temprano el miércoles después de que la Casa Blanca aclaró qué tan altos pueden ser los aranceles a productos chinos y analistas de Coinbase advirtieron sobre un posible “invierno cripto”, pero luego el activo se recuperó y terminó estable.
En un documento publicado el martes, el gobierno de Trump dijo que “China podría enfrentar aranceles de hasta 245% en sus importaciones”, lo que incluye un 125% por medidas “recíprocas”, un 20% para “enfrentar la crisis del fentanilo” y los llamados aranceles Sección 301, que van del 7.5% al 100% en ciertos productos.
Casi al mismo tiempo, un editorial del China Daily, un medio propiedad del gobierno chino, pidió que termine el “comportamiento caprichoso y destructivo” de Estados Unidos y dijo que el país debería “dejar de quejarse de ser la víctima en el comercio global”.
Según CoinGecko, la principal criptomoneda se cotizaba recientemente alrededor de $85,000, sin cambios en el último día. Otras criptos como Ethereum, XRP y Solana tuvieron pérdidas mayores, cayendo un 2% o menos.
Las tensiones entre China y Estados Unidos mantienen nerviosos a los inversionistas, pero el presidente Donald Trump ha insinuado avances con otros países. El miércoles, mostró optimismo en su red social Truth Social, diciendo que un acuerdo con Japón podría cerrarse “posiblemente hoy”.
If this is winter, I can't even remember which # it is since I entered crypto, in 2013. We'll weather it as well. pic.twitter.com/sbBavwJ1f6
— Eli Ben-Sasson (@EliBenSasson) 10 de marzo de 2025
Los aranceles cambiantes de Trump han generado obstáculos para los activos de riesgo, escribió David Duong, jefe de investigación de Coinbase, en un informe. Aunque el entorno regulatorio mejora con debates legislativos y el apoyo de Trump a las criptos, “la recuperación del mercado sigue siendo difícil”, dijo, sugiriendo cautela en las próximas cuatro a seis semanas.
En el mundo cripto, el término “invierno cripto” suele asociarse a un mercado bajista. Para las acciones, eso significa una caída del 20% desde máximos recientes, pero Duong aclaró que esta regla no aplica igual a los activos digitales, más volátiles y que operan las 24 horas.
En cambio, Duong señaló el promedio móvil de 200 días de Bitcoin como un mejor indicador de tendencias. Cuando Bitcoin cotiza por debajo de este promedio, sugiere “impulso bajista”, y viceversa. Recientemente, Bitcoin cayó bajo este nivel durante la guerra comercial de Trump. Con la caída de otras criptos y menos inversión de capitales de riesgo, Duong escribió que estos son “signos de un posible invierno cripto”.
El miércoles, Bitcoin cotizaba por encima de su promedio de 200 días ($80,000, según Barchart). El lunes pasado, su precio había caído hasta $74,800.
Vía | Bitcoin Steadies but Coinbase Analyst Sees Crypto Winter Brewing on Tariffs – Decrypt
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